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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2025-10-13T13:53:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-10-13T13:53Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/41732/-1
CME Note: Wide CME visible to the NE in STEREO A COR2 and the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is an M1.2 flare from AR 14246 (N24W23) peaking at 2025-10-13T13:18Z. Eruption with dimming and opening field lines best seen in GOES SUVI 195 and from the point of view of STEREO A EUV 195.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-10-17T09:32Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-10-16T13:34Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.

Lead Time: 56.65 hour(s)
Difference: 19.97 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-10-15T00:53Z

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